Stablecoins, which we define as digital assets used as a medium of exchange that are purported to be backed by assets held specifically for that purpose, have grown considerably in the last two years. They rose from a market capitalization of $5.7 billion on December 1, 2019, to $155.6 billion on January 21, 2022. Moreover, a market that was once dominated by a single stablecoin—Tether (USDT)—now boasts five stablecoins with valuations over $1 billion (as of January 21, 2022; data about the supply of stablecoins can be found here). Analysts have started to pay increased attention to the stablecoin market, and the President’s Working Group (PWG) on Financial Markets released a report on stablecoins on November 1, 2021. In this post, we explain why we believe stablecoins are unlikely to be the future of payments.
What’s new?
Defining and Measuring Payment Interoperability, WEF white paper (Lead author: Yan Xiao. I am one of several co-authors.)
An Application of Shapley Value Cost Allocation to Liquidity Savings Mechanisms (Journal of Money, Credit and Banking)
Dinero Electrónico: The Rise and Fall of Ecuador’s Central Bank Digital Currency with Andrés Arauz and Diego F Ramos F (Latin American Journal of Central Banking)
Privacy as a Public Good: A Case for Electronic Cash with Maarten van Oordt (Journal of Political Economy)
Monetizing Privacy, with Michael Lee (FRBNY Staff Reports)
Estimating Policy Functions in Payments Systems using Deep Reinforcement Learning, with P. S. Castro, A Desai, H. Du and F. Rivadeneyra (Best Paper Award, NeurIPS 2020)
Why Fixed Costs Matter for Proof-of-Work Based Cryptocurrencies with Maarten van Oordt (Best Cryptoeconomics Paper,The Third Toronto Fintech Conference 2020)
Investigating the Impact of Global Stablecoins (I am one of many contributors to this report.)
The Economics of Distributed Ledger Technologies for Securities Settlement with E. Benos and P. Gurrola-Perez (Ledger Journal)
Who Sees the Trades? The Effect of Information on Liquidity in Inter-Dealer Markets with Michael Lee, Antoine Martin and Robert Townsend
An Application of Shapley Value Cost Allocation to Liquidity Savings Mechanisms, Bank of Canada Staff Working Paper
Entrepreneurial Incentives and the Role of Initial Coin Offerings with Maarten van Oordt
Nonlinear Pricing and the Market for Settling Payments with Adam Copeland (Journal of Money, Credit and Banking)
Bitcoin 1, Bitcoin 2, … : An Experiment in Privately Issued Outside Monies with Neil Wallace (Economic Inquiry)
A Proposal for a Decentralized Liquidity Savings Mechanism with Side Payments with Adam Furgal, Dave Hudson and Zhiling Guo (R3 Report)
Centralized Netting in Financial Networks with Peter Zimmerman (Journal of Banking & Finance)
Project Jasper: A Canadian Experiment with Distributed Ledger Technology for Domestic Interbank Payments Settlement (I am one of many contributors to this white paper that elaborates on the BoC FSR article.)
Central Bank Cryptocurrencies with Morten Bech (BIS Quarterly Review)
Project Jasper: Are Distributed Wholesale Payment Systems Feasible Yet? with J. Chapman, S. Hendry, A. McCormack and W. McMahon (Bank of Canada Financial System Review)
CAD-coin versus Fedcoin (R3 Report)